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AIO - Krishna Kathri
Implementation riskmanagement

Risk Assessment of Urban Water Systems for the City of the Future

Reason of the Research

Cities all over the world are facing a range of dynamic global and regional pressures, for example, rapid urbanization and urban sprawl due to population growth; industrialization and privatization; deterioration of existing infrastructure systems; change in social values; and climate variability and change. They are facing difficulty in efficiently and transparently managing ever scarcer water resources, delivering water and sanitation services, and disposing of wastewater. Consequently, the systems are failing to minimize negative impacts on the downstream environment and on the urban populations’ quality of life including environmental, health, social, and economic aspects. These changes and consequences will be more challenging for the city of the future. In order to deal with these global change pressures, this work aims to analyze and quantify the major dimensions of the risks and uncertainties in urban water systems and evaluate for the decision making  processes, to achieve the goal of the sustainable urban water management for the city of the future (30 to 50 years). 

Project Plan

Main objectives of the work are:

  1. Identify  the major risks of concern  in integrated urban water systems due to global change pressure and how they could be dealt in decision making, 
  2. Review of the magnitude and implications of uncertainties related to these issues,
  3. Review  of  what concepts, methodologies and tools are available for uncertainty and risk analysis, 
  4. Explore to what extent quantitative and qualitative  risk assessment methodologies can be used to analyze the defined risks,
  5. Develop an analytical framework  and tools for risk assessment of integrated urban water systems, and
  6. Apply the developed methodology and tools for the decision making process in selected demonstration cities of the developed and developing countries.

Project Results

This research attempts to analyze and quantify the major dimensions of risks and uncertainties in urban water systems due to global change pressure.  Therefore, the state of art of the global change pressure explored on the urban water systems, in general, and associated risks indicators, methodologies, tools and framework developed and sufficiently tested in various demonstration cities, will be a useful output for the robust, flexible and adjustable systems design, and the effective and strategic decision making process for the city of the future, and finally to achieve the goal of the sustainable development.


 

     

AIO: K. B. Khatri
UNESCO -IHE,
k.khatri@unessco-ihe.org

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